Rehoboth Beach Real Estate Blog - Market Conditions

What the Case Shiller Report is Actually Telling Us

Case Shiller released their latest Home Price Index yesterday. The headlines that followed were true but, in our opinion, a little misleading. Here are some of the highlights of the report that have dominated major media coverage:

• Home prices rose 5.5% in the 12 months ending in November 2012 (the latest data available).
• In the 12 months ended in November, prices rose in 19 of 20 cities.
• Housing is clearly recovering. Prices are rising as are both new and existing home sales.

Great news for the housing industry. Realize however that all the highlights mentioned above refer to year-over-year comparisons.

What is NOT Being Reported

There is another finding in the report that hasn’t garnered many headlines – month-over-month prices are…

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Pending Home Sales Post 20th Consecutive Month Of Annual Gains

The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) reports that the Pending Home Sales Index fell 4.3 percent in December as compared to the month prior. The index now reads 101.7.

The Pending Home Sales Index measures the number of U.S. homes that have gone "into contract", but have not yet closed. The report is based on data collected from local real estate associations, and from national brokers.

Despite December's drop, however, the annual rate at which contracts for a home purchase were drawn increased 6.9 percent from one year ago, and marked the 20th consecutive month of annual purchase contract gains.

NAR reports that 80% of homes under contract are closed with 60 days, with the majority of the remained homes "sold" within months 3 and 4.

…

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Negative Equity: The Latest Satistics [INFOGRAPHIC]

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NAR, Google Document 'The Digital House Hunt'

by Broderick Perkins
reprinted with permission - Realty Times © - published January 10, 2013

Just about 15 years ago, real estate consumers couldn't wait to get their hands on what meager multiple listing service data was available - after the technophobic real estate industry went kicking and screaming into the digital age.

Back in 1998, real estate technology visionary, Stefan Swanepoel said it best in his treatise "Real Estate Confronts Reality: Computers, Consumers, Confusion."

"It is time for the real estate industry to understand that technology is not a destination - it's a journey. Technology is not an enemy - it's a tool...technology is the single biggest change catalyst the real estate industry has or will experience in the future." A…

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Homebuilder Confidence Nearly Triples In 2 Years

The National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB) Housing Market Index ended its 8-month winning streak this month, posting a value of 47. The January 2013 reading is on level with last month, and remains at a near 7-year high.

The Housing Market Index (HMI) is a measure of home builder confidence. HMI readings below 50 indicate a "poor" new construction conditions for single-family homes nationwide; ratings above 50 signal "good" ones.

Not since April 2006 has the Housing Market Index crossed into "good" territory, but the past two years have witnessed the HMI nearly triple; and the index is up from a reading of 25 just twelve months ago.

Values would have likely increased this month, too, if not for builder uncertainty. The NAHB cites concern over…

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Real Estate Forecasters See Home Loan Leap

The holiday décor is down; neighborhood kids are back in school; January’s social calendar looks amazingly clear (compared with the previous two months, anyway)… so, what now? One suggestion I might offer: put some serious thought into acting on those financial New Year’s resolutions – at least the ones dealing with your Rehoboth Beach real estate plans.

Doing so would dovetail nicely with my own New Year’s prediction, one I share with many credible real estate watchers: 2013 is the year buyers and sellers are going to really get serious about real estate.

According to Money Magazine on CNN’s website, the housing market rebound is here. Among other sources, they site the Mortgage Bankers Association forecast that “more and more house hunters will…

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27 Months Of Consecutive Job Growth Helping Home Prices Rise

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Non-Farm Payrolls report for December exceeded Wall Street's expectations by 5,000 net new jobs, showing 155,000 positions created in December.

The December tally raised the economy's 12-month total to 1.84 million net new jobs created nationwide. Jobs added in December mark the 27th consecutive month of job growth.

Job sectors showing the strongest growth to close out 2012 included:

• Health Care
• Drinking and Eating Establishments
• Construction
• Manufacturing

Private-sector hiring is driving the jobs market, too. 168,000 new private sector jobs were added in December. Government jobs fell by thirteen thousand.

Monthly job creation has averaged +153,000 jobs since 12 months ago. It's a fine measure of…

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Pending Home Sales Index Cruises To Multi-Year High

Home buyers continue to push the U.S. housing market forward. In November, for the second straight month, the Pending Home Sales Index eclipsed its benchmark reading of 100, posting a value of 106.4.

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) is published monthly by the National Association of REALTORS®. It tracks homes under contract to sell, but not sold. The PHSI is relative index, comparing current contract activity to the activity of 2001 -- the first year for which "pending homes" were tallied for an index.

The Pending Home Sales Index has posted an average score of 100.2 from January 2012 through November 2012, the most recent month for which there's data. This is a significant data point because it means that the 2012 housing market is performing…

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Case-Shiller Index Posts 4% Annual Home Price Gain

The U.S. housing market continues to make home price gains.

Earlier this week, the S&P/Case-Shiller Index showed home prices gaining 4.3 percent during the 12-month period ending October 2012, marking the largest one-year gain in home prices since May 2010.

The Case-Shiller Index measures changes in home prices by tracking same-home sales throughout 20 housing markets nationwide; and the change in sales price from sale-to-sale. Detached, single-family residences are used in the Case-Shiller Index methodology and data is for closed purchase transactions only.

Between October 2011 and October 2012, home values rose in 18 of the 20 Case-Shiller Index markets, with previously-hard hit areas such as Phoenix, Arizona leading the national price recovery.

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Homebuilder Confidence Rises For 9th Straight Month

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) released its Housing Market Index (HMI), showing another monthly gain -- its ninth in a row.

The HMI -- a gauge of homebuilder confidence -- rose 1 point to 47 in December 2012, lifting the index to its highest levels since April 2006.

Readings under 50 indicate unfavorable housing conditions for builders. Readings over 50 signal "good" conditions. Coincidentally, the last time that the HMI read above 50 was April 2006, too.
The Housing Market Index is based on a survey which the NAHB sends to its members. The survey asks the nation's builders to rate the current housing market conditions.

In December, home builders reported gains in two of the three areas surveyed:

• Current Single-Family Sales: 51 (+2…

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